P U N D I T  R U M B L E The Tape Debates Scores
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64 bull · 15 bear · 5 neutral · exact words, dated and sourced
Ed YardeniScott GallowayJason CalacanisDan Ives+52

Single names on the record: who is pounding the table for what, with dates attached.

The count, last 30 days: 58 bull, 14 bear. The tape leans bull. A count, not a verdict.

The tape

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bullbearclaims filed per week

What the people who move markets are saying about this, in their own words. These are views on the record, not scored bets: when a call here grows a number and a deadline, it moves to the scoreboard. Newest first.

Bull leaning · 2026-08-04
Nissan beat on cost cuts; top-line recovery arrives H2 of the fiscal year. EVENT: will, dated.
Yeah, I think so, and then particularly the first quarter and then probably second quarter, the earnings will be driven by the fixed cost reduction. So what we are waiting is a top line driven growth or recovery, which is not coming yet. It's going to be second half of this fiscal year.
Tatsuo Yoshida · Bloomberg Intelligence senior auto analyst · Bloomberg Television ↗
Bull 2026-08-04
Trackable sector stance: OW financials, industrials, health care; market-weight tech.
Absolutely. We've been recommending market weighting information technology since the end of last year. And I think on balance, that's actually worked out reasonably well. We've been recommending over weighting financials, industrials and health care. And that's worked out very well.
Ed Yardeni · Yardeni Research · CNBC ↗
Bear hedged · 2026-07-31
on Meta down 11 straight days, longest streak since the 2012 IPO
“very strong investment and a very uncertain future revenue outlook for them”
Maribel Lopez · Lopez Research (founder, enterprise AI lead) · Bloomberg ↗
Bull leaning · 2026-07-22
Ahead of Alphabet earnings that week. He says Third Bridge expert calls consistently find LLM usage is not yet displacing Google, alternatives 'aren't monetizing with advertising' @35:13, and 'it's going to take a number of quarters at this point' @35:24 before AI hits the model.
“it's not at this point disrupting or displacing Google. That might not happen for another couple of years.”
Scott Kessler · Third Bridge (global sector lead, TMT) · Bloomberg ↗
Neutral leaning · 2026-07-22
Asked about Morgan Stanley downgrading Adobe and Salesforce. He argues software is not a monolith: enterprise vendors selling need-to-have, data-heavy, trusted solutions who invest in their own AI will navigate AI disruption, and notes cybersecurity has traded very differently from application software in 2026.
“we think those companies are probably better positioned to kind of navigate the treacherous waters that AI has kind of put before them.”
Scott Kessler · Third Bridge (global sector lead, TMT) · Bloomberg ↗
Bear hedged · 2026-07-22
Previewing Alphabet's earnings due after the close that day, asked whether the stock sells off no matter what. He also cautions that 'investor reactions to results at the moment are a little bit unpredictable' @7:51 and frames Alphabet as 'a bellwether for the full kind of AI value chain' @7:24.
“I think expectations are pretty robust for Google. So I think it would be quite hard for them to deliver something that's going to really give a significant incremental positive versus where market expectations are already.”
Matt Bloxham · Bloomberg Intelligence · Bloomberg ↗
Neutral 2026-07-22
Soundbite in the market-open package ahead of Alphabet earnings 'after the closing bell today' @0:38. Clip begins 'Search revenue last quarter, strongest growth in years, we need to repeat that. That cloud segment last quarter shocked people with 63 percent' @0:44.
“I think the bar this quarter has got to be well north of 70 percent, and that backlog number that they talked about last quarter of 400 billion, that probably needs to continue to grow.”
Mark Mahaney · Evercore ISI · CNBC ↗
Neutral 2026-07-21
Farnborough soundbite; Airbus also sold 100 A320neos to SMBC Aviation Capital and firmed Riyadh Air A350-1000 options, and the narration says Airbus claims the Middle East conflict has boosted demand for fuel-efficient aircraft. Dated corporate commitment: program launch 2030, entry into service in the second half of the 2030s.
“We have already said and we confirm that we want to launch the next generation single aisle in 2030 for an entry into service in the second head in second second in the second part of the next decade.”
Guillaume Faury · Airbus (CEO) · Bloomberg ↗
Bull 2026-07-21
He says he has been 'buying are cheap companies down the bottom of the chain' @16:15 at 'twos and three time sales' versus 20 to 40 times at the top, naming 'Cisco's and Hewlett Packard' @16:39 and IBM, which 'nobody thinks IBM is a good buy yet' @17:04 despite quantum computing.
“But nonetheless, they will absolutely knock their figures out of the ballpark over the next two or three years, because they've got an incredibly valuable thing that AI can't have or do. And that's trust.”
Clem Chambers · ANewFN.com, markets author (host cite garbled as 'a new open.com') · Kitco News ↗
Bull 2026-07-21
First of her three picks. 'They just reported great earnings' @5:21; 'I think that is a great stock' @5:37; adds they are putting AI to work on cost efficiency @5:52.
“They are in a turnaround story for over a year now. Stock has not done well, but it is coming back. And I think overall, they're very efficient in their cost management now.”
Lisa Schreiber · Gradient Investments (associate portfolio manager) · BNN Bloomberg ↗
Bull 2026-07-21
Second pick, after 'stellar earnings' and strong trading revenue @6:09. She continues that 'Entropic and OpenAI lined up for IPO-ing' (whisper garble of Anthropic) is 'very, very good for these large investment banks' @6:34.
“it's kind of a backdoor play to the whole AI game here, right? When we think of all the IPO activity with SpaceX earlier, where Goldman played a huge role”
Lisa Schreiber · Gradient Investments (associate portfolio manager) · BNN Bloomberg ↗
Gold since this was said: +5.9% · 4,071 → 4,310 · as of 2026-08-05
Bull 2026-07-21
Third pick: digital infrastructure firm letting companies 'tap in their existing data centers and use their compute power without them really needing to put the CapEx to the ground' @7:05; partnerships with Cisco and Nvidia @6:57.
“So, I think that is a great opportunity, especially when we see more scrutiny on these firms of how they're using their CapEx and how they're using their spend. This is a company that can really benefit from that.”
Lisa Schreiber · Gradient Investments (associate portfolio manager) · BNN Bloomberg ↗
Bull 2026-07-20
'fees from the M&A activities and trading continue to be pretty strong, not just in North America but the markets around the world' @53:58; 'delivers that nice combination of slight defensiveness, evaluation appeal, and the earnings stability' @54:15, favored 'alongside... emerging markets' into H2.
“So in fact, the financial sector is one of the sectors that we like. The valuation is quite compelling.”
Homin Lee · Lombard Odier (senior macro strategist, Asia) · Bloomberg ↗
Bull leaning · 2026-07-20
Stockton points to rotation out of semis into software and defensives; REITs 'trying to break out,' good technical setups in healthcare, REITs, utilities, and 'very strong' relative insurers with many bottom-up breakouts.
“there are even still breakouts underway in some defensive areas of the markets. Even the REIT sector looks like it's trying to break out.”
Katie Stockton · Fairlead Strategies · CNBC ↗
Bull 2026-07-20
Follows host noting KBW bank index up ~15% YTD and outperforming post-earnings. She adds 'And I believe it is a very solid sector for the near term' (@29:37), citing AI-financing demand, creative investment banking, and high trading volumes.
“So I would say all of that is pointing very much towards the banks. They're not overstretched. They're well capitalized”
Aoifinn Devitt · Moneta (global wealth managing director) · Bloomberg ↗
Bull leaning · 2026-07-20
Asked whether small-cap leadership (even loss-making names, best year since 2003) is froth. She frames breadth as 'so much healthier than the concentration we saw earlier' (@26:40), while noting $8T in money-market cash needing a home.
“So i'm going to go with it being a sign of healthy healthy risk appetite and not over exuberance”
Aoifinn Devitt · Moneta (global wealth managing director) · Bloomberg ↗
Bull 2026-07-20
H1 output up 15% y/y; targets 'around 170 aircraft for 2026' (as transcribed; number likely garbled) and 'close to rate 75 or at rate 75 for the end of next year' (@38:13). Backlog of more than 9,200 aircraft; says Middle East crisis is fueling demand for fuel-efficient jets.
“So there is absolutely no doubt in my perspective that we'll get to the rate 75”
Guillaume Faury · Airbus (CEO) · Bloomberg ↗
Bull 2026-07-20
Clarifies entry into service 'in the second part of the next decade' (@39:52) with ~25% fuel-burn benefit (@40:05); engine choice (open rotor vs geared turbofan) to be decided 'the next couple of years'. Boeing's Ortberg, same show, says Boeing is 'probably not now financially' ready (@80:44).
“We have already said and we confirm that we want to launch the next generation single aisle In 2030 for an entry into service in the second head in second second”
Guillaume Faury · Airbus (CEO) · Bloomberg ↗
Bull 2026-07-20
Calls it 'a super resilient market... We forecast that the market is going to continue to be strong' (@77:39) despite Brent at $90 and the Iran conflict; 737 rate now 47/month with 'aspirations to get to 63 a month' (@76:55). Show intro paraphrases the figure as 40,000 (@12:08); CEO's on-tape number is 44,000.
“We just came out with the new forecast for overall aircraft growth and we see 44 000 airplanes in the next 20 years”
Kelly Ortberg · Boeing (CEO) · Bloomberg ↗
Bull 2026-07-20
'The fight' = the post-Covid existential question of whether people keep going to theaters: 'people love to go to movie theaters and Hollywood is responding' (@19:55). Backed by Odyssey's $124M domestic open (4.3M AMC guests) and AMC's record Q2 (EBITDA ~$321M, +70% y/y). Trailing segment garbles ('for the best of guys').
“I think we've won that fight. And if you look at the size of the box office this year, it clearly is going to be the biggest post-pandemic year”
Adam Aron · AMC Entertainment (CEO) · CNBC ↗
Bull 2026-07-20
Answering Kernen's question about past dilution and debt: quarter ended with '$778 million of cash on hand, and we have no significant debt majorities [maturities] prior to 2029' (@27:47); record revenue/EBITDA quarter in AMC's 106-year history; H1 EBITDA more than 2.5x last year. Note: a cold-open teaser of this line exists at 24:34/14:33 in the pod intro block.
“maybe it's not just time to talk about survival, it's time to talk about thriving, and that's the mission that we're now focused on going forward”
Adam Aron · AMC Entertainment (CEO) · CNBC ↗
Bull 2026-07-20
He argues the run 'is actually in its 16th month' since 'the tariff tantrum in April of last year' @0:31 and is not a head fake ('I don't think this is a head fake' @0:27); drivers are Fed easing, AI hard-asset demand, reshoring, deregulation and 100% capex expensing.
“so if earnings lead the market which I believe they do I think you're going to Be in a sweet spot here with small caps for a period of time”
Francis Gannon · Royce Investment Partners (co-CIO) · CNBC ↗
Bull leaning · 2026-07-20
Baseline he cites: 'we had negative earnings in small caps for 23 and 24' and roughly six months into 2025 @0:44, with earnings only turning positive at the end of 2025.
“the outlook is pretty positive and we think it's going to continue to Actually be in line perhaps even potentially better than large-cap earnings by the end of this year into 2027”
Francis Gannon · Royce Investment Partners (co-CIO) · CNBC ↗
Bull 2026-07-20
Based on 'everything happens in ten ten year segments' in Russell/CRSP data @2:49: 'We're coming to the end of a ten year period of outperformance of large cap' @2:54. He adds investors are underexposed: 'flows into the ETF the small cap ETF continue to be negative' @4:45, and 'you're at the beginning of what could be a prolonged small cap cycle' @5:56.
“and the small caps tend to outperform when they start to Outperform will outperform for a decade and I think that's where we are”
Francis Gannon · Royce Investment Partners (co-CIO) · CNBC ↗
Bear leaning · 2026-07-20
He predicts 'a shakeout in capacity in Europe as a result of what's going on in the Middle East' @1:19: rivals lack Ryanair's cost base and balance sheet, while Ryanair is 'now effectively debt free' after paying down a $1.2B bond in May @1:29. Confirms to the host that failures means bankruptcies but says he is not interested in buying other airlines @1:58.
“So I think once you get into the kind of winter period, some of the weaker carriers are going to find it very difficult and we may see some failures over the next number of months”
Neil Sorahan · Ryanair Group (CFO) · CNBC ↗
Bull leaning · 2026-07-20
Logic: 'you're going to see capacity coming out of the market. M&A is continuing across Europe. There's going to be failures.' @3:28. Whisper garbles 'on further' (likely 'on fares') and 'pricing way and that's up'; the directional meaning: fares biased higher as capacity exits: is clear from the exchange on pricing.
“That means there's more risk to the upside than the downside on further. So I think when you kind of look beyond this year into next year and beyond pricing way and that's up”
Neil Sorahan · Ryanair Group (CFO) · CNBC ↗
Bull 2026-07-20
Built on 300 MAX-10s 'due to start delivering from January of next year' @2:17, bought at COVID prices. Near-term guidance on tape too: 'We'll grow overall by about 4% this year to 216 million passengers' @1:10.
“That's going to see us grow to 300 million passengers per annum over the next decade. So by March 2034, we'll be carrying over 300 million passengers across Europe every year.”
Neil Sorahan · Ryanair Group (CFO) · CNBC ↗
Bull 2026-07-20
At Farnborough he announced exercising options on 28 Boeing 787s (20 of them -10s) and six A350-1000s @0:22; says US service comes 'very, very soon' with 'partner Delta will be connecting into Riyadh from October of this year' @3:11, and answers 'We're bang on target' @4:18 to the host's garbled '20, 300 destinations' (2030) question. Says the Iran war has not dented bookings ('Up to now, no') though established carriers have seen impact.
“now, no, but we're playing a long game. This is how we build up to 100 cities, international cities within five years”
Tony Douglas · Riyadh Air (CEO) · CNBC ↗
Bear 2026-07-20
Positioning talk: I'm selling down my big tech @52:10; he stays invested (I'm always in the market @49:28) but is de-risking: I'm trying to set myself up for a 20 to 30% decline, not 120% decline, which is what I experienced in the dot com @63:04, and When this collapse, which is coming, it's probably not a collapse, a drawdown of AI happens. There's nowhere to hide @62:53. He admits possible sour grapes for passing on Anthropic at a $20 billion valuation @52:21.
“As a general theme, if I could go long a basket of stocks, would be GLP-1. And if I could go short a basket, it's AI.”
Scott Galloway · NYU Stern / Prof G Media · Prof G Markets ↗
Bull leaning · 2026-07-20
Offered as the one sector not levered to the AI trade: I'll give you one sector he says stands outside the AI trade and 'hasn't been getting love' @62:03, and I think that is a sector that has not infused AI at all yet. And perhaps maybe they will, at which point you will start to see some real returns @62:12.
“It was one of my picks at the beginning of the year. I'm gonna stick to it. It's the healthcare sector.”
Ed Elson · Prof G Markets · Prof G Markets ↗
Bull 2026-07-20
Host: 'Dave, by the way, is the name Europe big and you're buying more in a dip. You think it's a $2,000 stock?' Jackson: 'I do' @3:26. He frames Dave as 'in some ways an AI play' @3:27 disrupting payday borrowing via cashflow underwriting, and says he first pitched it around $165 in the spring @4:04.
“We're at about 450 now, but they are just getting started. I see this as a long-term $2,000 play for me and I'm sticking with it.”
Eric Jackson · EMJ Capital (founder and CIO) · Fox Business ↗
Bull 2026-07-20
He pitches Nextdoor as an AI play on proprietary neighborhood data: 'look for the companies that have access to proprietary data' @5:16, with 15 years of neighborhood information that merged with AI 'creates products that haven't existed before' @5:40.
“So watch the name like NXDR to continue to kind of start to inflect here. And they've got tons of cash on their balance sheet. It's a very cheaply priced company.”
Eric Jackson · EMJ Capital (founder and CIO) · Fox Business ↗
Bear leaning · 2026-07-18
Apple at massive resistance; economy weakens by year end.
“After a bounce, semis are going to go lower and I think Apple goes lower as well.”
Gareth Soloway · VerifiedInvesting.com (CEO, chief market strategist) · markets @Apple
Bull leaning · 2026-07-18
Oversold with converging trend lines; contrarian vs the debt bears.
“This to me could bounce back to 150 within days on the charts as well.”
Gareth Soloway · VerifiedInvesting.com (CEO, chief market strategist) · markets @Oracle
Bull leaning · 2026-07-18
Citi analyst; keeps a Buy on Netflix but prefers Disney's IP and content runway.
“Disney is a bit more interesting to me than Netflix among the streamers.”
Jason Bosnett · Citigroup (media & entertainment analyst) · markets @Disney vs Netflix
Bull 2026-07-18
Jason cites Mark Gurman's report that the coming M7 Ultra could support 1.5TB RAM, letting Opus-class local models run on a Mac Studio, putting downward pressure on Claude/OpenAI and letting Apple 'run the table on AI.'
“I think Apple is a screaming buy right now. And that's not financial advice.”
Jason Calacanis · Launch / All-In Podcast · All-In ↗
Bull hedged · 2026-07-18
Ives rebuts 'haters' who say Apple is out of the AI game, pointing to the stock's move that day as evidence the AI theme's scale is underestimated.
“I don't have a price target right now, but just look at that stock today, okay?”
Dan Ives · Yorkville Ives & Co (per Bloomberg plate Jul 2026; formerly Wedbush) · Yahoo Finance ↗
Bull 2026-07-18
Asked if Palantir is 'still the Messi of AI,' Ives says Karp is 'playing a different game,' that Palantir's every post-IPO quarter has been strong, and that the software/commercial story is 'still to come.'
“I think Palantir, it's hard to say that the AI revolution happens without a name like Palantir.”
Dan Ives · Yorkville Ives & Co (per Bloomberg plate Jul 2026; formerly Wedbush) · Yahoo Finance ↗
Bear 2026-07-18
Asked what he's actively avoiding. Earlier: 'We've talked about how you can't view Adobe and Salesforce past the next three years.' @15:49. Host underlines it as a held-steady structural view, 'more of a structural change than... a sell off that is somewhat temporary.' Whisper renders 'seat-based' as 'seed-based': kept verbatim.
“I still have no interest in SaaS seed-based software, so a lot of people are trying to pick bottoms in that.”
Jordi Visser · 22V Research (ex-Weiss Multi-Strategy CIO) · Pomp ↗
Bull 2026-07-17
Asked for one stock he likes, Cook names 'Talon Metals Corp, T-L-O' @17:02: Michigan nickel-copper-PGM deposit plus a Minnesota discovery 'exceptionally rich' in nickel and platinum-group metals, all US critical minerals, with permitting 'mostly in hand' @18:07. Later: 'that's something I would be adding to' @19:07. Teaser duplicate 'There's one stock that you like' at 0:22.
“But it just seems like a great-- it is a fantastic deposit. It's growing exceptionally high grade and as your chart shows, it's come off markedly from $9. So I like this one a lot.”
Brent Cook · Exploration Insights (co-founder, senior advisor; economic geologist) · David Lin ↗
Bear leaning · 2026-07-17
A hyperscaler can't afford to be off the frontier; expects a release soon.
“delay of the model is certainly a setback. I do think they will release something soon.”
Mandeep Singh · Bloomberg Intelligence · tech-ai @Alphabet
Bull 2026-07-17
Its prior AI-lagging status now insulates it; up 61% since late March.
“that makes Apple a haven from this tech sell off.”
Tatiana Darie · Bloomberg (Markets Live strategist) · markets @Apple
Bull leaning · 2026-07-17
Netflix fell 7.25% after mixed Q2 results with slow-growth guidance; Blackledge, answering the anchor's 'overreaction?' framing, notes the stock was already down 40% over 12 months into the print.
“I do. I mean, it was definitely mixed, but down over 11 percent pre-market, when sentiment was weak going in, stock down 40 percent over the past 12 months pre-open, it feels a little overdone.”
John Blackledge · TD Cowen (internet & media analyst) · CNBC ↗
Bull leaning · 2026-07-17
Aired after a week in which the Nasdaq dropped almost 3%; anchor frames him as 'still bullish' on the tech trade ('Evaluation' is whisper's rendering of 'valuation').
“Evaluation for software has become a lot more attractive here. So I think that not all software companies are positioned similarly.”
Tony Wang · T. Rowe Price (whisper garbles firm as 'T-roll prices') · CNBC ↗
Bull 2026-07-17
Her coined 'vanity trade': GLP-1 sales heading toward $50B this year with ripple effects into beauty, apparel and fitness. Levels: Ulta 'if it gets through $480 and then back through $500, that's telling you people are going back to beauty' @18:30; Novo Nordisk reclaimed 50; on e.l.f. and peers: 'if we hold here, they seem undervalued to me.' @19:21. Estee Lauder noted as 'a Michael Burry pick' basing out.
“And you say $50 billion, I think that may just be nothing compared to where it's going to go.”
Michelle 'Mish' Schneider · MarketGauge.com (chief strategist) · BNN Bloomberg ↗
Bull leaning · 2026-07-17
On Zuckerberg's reported offer to sell excess compute: bulls read it as opportunistic monetization, bears as overbuild regret; Kevin thinks 'a mix of a little bit of both,' credits Meta's cancellation clauses on off-balance-sheet leases as 'great' for Meta but likely to 'leave a lot of bag holders' among leased-compute providers.
“I personally only care about it from the point of view of how AI makes advertising better which I think is massive and I only like it from the advertising point of view”
Kevin Paffrath · Meet Kevin (YouTube) / House Hack · Meet Kevin ↗
Bull 2026-07-17
Said right after Netflix's Q2 miss (revenue ~-0.6%, EPS ~-3.8% per his figures) and engagement worries; he frames ad revenue as a new growth vertical still 'insignificant' vs total revenue, taking time to show up, with a PEG caveat if growth keeps slowing.
“I still think that is a sleeper stock for advertising. I expect their advertising revenues to frankly double for multiple years in a row.”
Kevin Paffrath · Meet Kevin (YouTube) / House Hack · Meet Kevin ↗
Bull 2026-07-17
'advertising, frankly, recession or not, is going to be one of those sectors that just absolutely dominates with the power of artificial intelligence' @7:31: AI extracting 'any kind of penny out of the consumer that they have left.' Google also praised as 'another fantastic advertiser' now at a 1.3 PEG.
“So I'm really bullish on things like AppLovin or Meta.”
Kevin Paffrath · Meet Kevin (YouTube) / House Hack · Meet Kevin ↗
Neutral leaning · 2026-07-17
On the day's tech-to-consumer rotation, after his Target-at-$86 call 'almost doubled': consumer names are 'really a cool medium term like hide from AI' @5:54, but 'if AI goes to crap, the consumer is going to go to random crap' @6:02; cites 13% of card balances 90-day delinquent (Q1 2026, highest in 15 years) and chargebacks +29% since 2021 as consumer stress.
“I don't necessarily think that goes on forever. I don't think they're a 10-year play”
Kevin Paffrath · Meet Kevin (YouTube) / House Hack · Meet Kevin ↗
Bull 2026-07-17
Walmart is his named hot pick: 'So Costco and Walmart have been key ideas in this K-shaped paradigm' @1:39; AI evidence: Sparky assistant used by 'as many as half of them mobile app users' with 'average order sizes over 30% higher' @2:40, plus share gains with 'higher household income consumers' @3:09 and 'as we think about AI, first-party data is so important and the Walmart Plus membership flywheel and ecosystem will be increasingly important' @3:31.
“And as you think about Walmart as a tech company, digital advertising is fueling outsized growth as this is growing 20% plus and it comes at very high margin.”
Bull 2026-07-17
Answering whether the premium multiple still has room to run: 'Renewal rates are very high at 91 to 92 percent' @4:38 and 'traffic has been exceptional as well at plus four to six percent. That's very distinguished from a sector that's been tougher' @4:45.
“But Costco is delivering on outstanding growth, double-digit growth, and even better growth on their e-commerce division with lots of good things on the horizon, including global growth”
Bull 2026-07-17
His third named pick ('Richmont' = Richemont): 'jewelry is really working' @6:36, helped by gold - 'Richmont's done a good job not overly raising prices and gold's prices have been rising faster' @6:43 - while 'What's been softer is handbags' @6:55 and 'China's been tougher, but China's been getting better' @7:01.
“bottom line on Richmont, the hard luxury story, the jewelry, the watches, the power brands of Van Cleef and Cartier really working here to distinguish the growth.”
Bear leaning · 2026-07-16
Ahead of Netflix's report after the 7/16 close; anchor frames it: investors waiting to see 'how soft the viewing numbers might be' after a Q2 price increase, with subscribers downgrading or canceling (@2:27).
“We do think that probably caused some downgrades. Our work suggested that 18 percent of U.S. subscribers downgraded. I've seen some other third party work suggesting it's more than that.”
Jason Helfstein · Oppenheimer · CNBC ↗
Neutral leaning · 2026-07-16
On Netflix's just-released Q2: 'The market was widely expecting a miss and a lower, and the market got a miss and a lower' (@1:15) but 'there wasn't any slippage in engagement' (@1:24). Stock down more than 30% over three months, volatile after hours.
“I kind of think this is an at par quarter. Bar was low and they may have tripped over it.”
Mark Mahaney · Evercore ISI · CNBC ↗
Bear 2026-07-16
'you still have, I think, four of the eight publicly traded U.S. airlines that are likely to lose money this year. That's not a sustainable long-term position' @6:14; 'it's just economic gravity' @6:29; 'I know investors are worried about fourth quarter capacity. It always does. That's the history' @6:45.
“but loss making capacity does come out of the industry. I think schedules are going to come down in the fourth quarter.”
Scott Kirby · United Airlines (CEO) · CNBC ↗
Bull hedged · 2026-07-16
After 'exceptional' Q2 bank results: 'in the absence of a market correction, a significant one and or economic weakness, it's not clear that there's anything that's near us that is going to derail this train' @36:34-36:47; he concedes 'there is a risk of complacency' @36:50 and flags funding-cost pressure and ever-higher comps as the watch items @37:23-38:44.
“But again, it is, you look at the backdrop and it doesn't seem like there 's anything that's really going to derail this train at this point.”
Saul Martinez · HSBC (head of US financials research) · Bloomberg ↗
Bull 2026-07-16
'there's too much focus on the financial margin and not enough focus on the revenue growth' @39:15; 'I think the results improve into the second half of the year. And the stock, the valuation is at a bit of a discount to their peers' @39:32-39:42; also 'PNC had good numbers as well. So we're generally constructive' @39:59.
“So it is still our top pick. But we like the group broadly. We like the regional banks here.”
Saul Martinez · HSBC (head of US financials research) · Bloomberg ↗
Bull leaning · 2026-07-16
'This was a really good quarter. It was that they didn't raise their full year profitability target' @40:46-40:51 (11% ROTCE guide vs 13% delivered in H1); he reads the guidance hold as front-loading investor-day investments that 'position them well to maintain what has been really good business momentum' @41:36-41:43.
“And I don't think there is an issue with I think what they're doing is they 're taking advantage of the strong results and investing, investing for growth”
Saul Martinez · HSBC (head of US financials research) · Bloomberg ↗
Bull leaning · 2026-07-16
Answering the future-leadership question: 'We like growth, probably a tad more than value here, but it doesn't mean you want to go all in on either one' @1:07; 'the reality is price stay in the cyclical things, but don't go all in any one sector' @1:37. He cites the day's breadth (tech down ~3% while seven sectors higher, healthcare +2%) as evidence the broadening is real.
“We kind of have a barbelled approach. We like tech a little bit overweight, yes, but industrials and financials on the other side make a lot of sense.”
Ryan Detrick · Carson Group (Chief Market Strategist) · CNBC ↗
Bull 2026-07-15
Overweight per host intro. On credit: 'Every quarter we kind of look for cracks' yet net charge-offs 'are flat to down this quarter' (@20:18); expects 'the best long growth quarter in the last few years' (@20:59) and continued wealth-management asset growth 'as long as the markets hold up' (@18:49).
“Yeah, listen, we think there's a very strong secular growth story tied to the wealth management business.”
Bull leaning · 2026-07-15
Multipolar world means 'defense spending going up globally' routed into local supply chains (@44:49); prefers 'the parts manufacturers, the equipment manufacturers' over the defense primes (@45:16). Aired as Trump spoke at a Pennsylvania defense-investment summit.
“But if you look at airspace and defense as kind of the share of overall private markets activity, it is still quite small. So I wouldn't call this a stretched trade just yet.”
Anastasia Amoroso · Partners Group · Bloomberg ↗
Bull hedged · 2026-07-15
Reacting to United's Q2 beat/narrowed guidance: network carriers' premium-cabin and co-branded-card 'de-risking strategy... is a big deal and it's tangible' (@60:44), with United trailing-12-month cash flow up 361% vs 2021; the condition: 'so long as the equity market continues to do reasonably well that segment of society is going to continue to spend' (@62:57).
“And as long as that holds up and that spending holds up I think the big three can continue down this path.”
Steven Trent · STT Capital Advisors (aviation & aerospace research; whisper garbles 'S.T.T.'/'S.D.T.') · Bloomberg ↗
Bear hedged · 2026-07-15
After calling the quarter almost a perfect storm of good economic backdrop, high real rates and booming deal-making (@16:40), he flags the peak: continued growth is hard to envision and deposit cost pressure is the mundane risk: If that starts to eat away at the net interest income growth in the second half of the year and next year, that's also something that could derail the positive thesis @23:33, citing Wells Fargo's funding-cost concerns. On AI in banks he adds excess returns can last a long time and first movers could have significant advantages here @26:47.
“It is hard to envision, you know, continued growth off of the base we're on.”
Saul Martinez · HSBC (head of US financials research) · Prof G Markets ↗
Bull 2026-07-15
Reacting to Warren Buffett picking Alphabet as a winner, Ives says 'A year ago, the New York City cab driver was Barish on it' @3:01 (garble of bearish) and frames Alphabet as one of the 'valuation names that you could rationalize in AI' @3:14 for value buyers like Berkshire.
“This is a perfect example. That fits well in, and they are at the epicenter of the build out, and especially when it comes on search.”
Dan Ives · Yorkville Ives & Co (per Bloomberg plate Jul 2026; formerly Wedbush) · CNBC ↗
Bull leaning · 2026-07-15
Clip follows BlackRock and Morgan Stanley earnings, with Morgan Stanley posting record profit; he notes MS and Goldman are 'the same exact chart' on a one-year basis @2:29 despite being rivals.
“I mean, basically, they're the two ways that you want to just leverage all of this capital raising and deployment in AI.”
Mike Santoli · CNBC (senior markets commentator) · CNBC ↗
Gold since this was said: +6.6% · 4,044 → 4,310 · as of 2026-08-05
Bear leaning · 2026-07-14
Asked point-blank if he would buy Apple at $313 (host cites ~$5T cap; KeyBank sell/$250 vs Citigroup $365 on the tape): 'Sorry if I wasn't clear. I would not.' (@7:32); not a short either: 'I wouldn't say it's a short at this point' (@9:21); 2027 estimates 'hinge on how big is this foldable phone' at $2,000+ (@7:07); credits part of the run to rotation toward Apple as the big name NOT spending capex on AI (@6:47)
“I would not.”
Walter Piecyk · LightShed Partners · CNBC ↗
Bear leaning · 2026-07-14
On Meta's 15% stock surge after its Muse Spark 1.1 model release and compute-licensing rumors. He argues the model is 'somewhat of a commodity', Meta hasn't cracked consumer AI ('if META can't crack it... then who will' @13:34), and the rally likely reflects hopes of licensing excess compute rather than product success.
“And for the time being, it's not going to be able to really make use of all those data centers. It built in anticipation of the demand for this product taking off until it's able to figure this out.”
Alex Kantrowitz · Big Technology (newsletter/podcast) · Prof G Markets ↗
Bear leaning · 2026-07-13
Flagged as the market's next de-rating candidate on 30-year-extreme valuations; explicitly NOT downgraded (fundamentals 'fabulous')
“The problem with industrials is they are ridiculously overvalued.”
Lori Calvasina · RBC Capital Markets (head of US equity strategy) · CNBC ↗
Bear 2026-07-10
Multi-year standing call; AI factories will write software on the fly
“we've obviously been negative on software”
Ben Reitzes · Melius Research · CNBC ↗
Bull 2026-07-10
Top pick; Cobre Panama back online late 2026
“But really the catalyst here is they've got a number of projects that they've been building the backlog that are going to come online in the next year or two.”
Darren Sissons · Campbell Lee & Ross · BNN Bloomberg ↗
Bull 2026-07-10
Top pick
“We just think this is gonna be a multi-year grind higher.”
Darren Sissons · Campbell Lee & Ross · BNN Bloomberg ↗
Bull 2026-07-10
Buying it for new clients, he says
“So these levels, I think this is the kind of name where you just hold your nose and buy it. I don't think it's extremely expensive.”
Darren Sissons · Campbell Lee & Ross · BNN Bloomberg ↗
Bull leaning · 2026-07-10
Pick; explicit three-month divestiture-announcement window
“Yum Brands is showing within their Taco Bell franchise good organic growth. They are divesting Pizza Hut. We should see potentially a divestiture announcement over the next three months.”
Chad Morgan-Lander · Washington Crossing Advisors (senior PM) · BNN Bloomberg ↗
Bull 2026-07-10
Price target raised to $216 from $204 after the Q1 blowout
“it's strong growth on the EPS front over the next 12 months that will catalyze the stock price to that level of $216”
Bull 2026-07-10
CEO on his own company, noted
“our in place economic, economic occupancy is about 86 percent. And we think we can take that 95 to 97 percent over the next couple of years.”
Alex Avery · Primaris REIT (CEO) · BNN Bloomberg ↗
Bull 2026-07-10
Pre-announcing a distribution increase and index addition
“So this year will actually be our fifth year of increasing distributions, which, you know, when we when we make that announcement later this year, that will get us qualified to be added to the dividend aristocrats index in January of next year”
Alex Avery · Primaris REIT (CEO) · BNN Bloomberg ↗
Bull 2026-07-10
Would buy an AI-unwind-driven copper selloff with cash raised earlier this year
“my outlook on copper is very long term.”
Lobo Tiggre · The Independent Speculator · The David Lin Report ↗
Bull 2026-07-02
The EV winter is over; Tesla Q2 deliveries ~406K beat even the whisper number; consumers progressively more open to electrification
Gene Munster · Deepwater Asset Management · CNBC The Exchange (yt LZh1twMjDlI
Tesla since this was said: -18.0% · 393.4 → 322.5 · as of 2026-08-05
Bull 2026-07-02
Asked about 38% of the portfolio in Alphabet, Amazon and Meta: “I would say we don't share that concern at all. One, the kind of valuations of the companies have come down significantly. And meanwhile, their growth rates are accelerating”
Bill Ackman · Pershing Square · Forbes Iconoclast ↗
…But 38% of your portfolio right now is in Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta. Why do you believe this magnificent legacy names remain the safest and most undervalued way to play in the AI revolution? I know that's something that you spoke about earlier today. So they're businesses that we've admired for a long time, but they were never cheap enough for us. At least we missed the opportunities when they had moments of cheapness. But I think the market has reacted very negatively to the very large capital expenditures that these companies have committed to, approaching many hundreds of billions of dollars. And I guess investors are concerned about, are they going to earn adequate returns on these investments? And I would say we don't share that concern at all. One, the kind of valuations of the companies have come down significantly. And meanwhile, their growth rates are accelerating. And that's what really creates an opportunity. And we have confidence on the management teams here. When they say that we're earning very, very attractive returns on these investments, it makes sense to us. I mean, it's not clear which frontier model is going to be the winner and whether there will be a winner. So OpenAI was kind of in the lead, and then we had Enthropic and then Enthrop ic seems to be the kind of a lead horse. But one thing's clear, all of these companies require massive amounts of compute. And the cloud is the most scalable, safest place to get access to that kind of compute. And that explains certainly the Amazon…From: this video · 2 claims mined from it
Bull 2026-07-01
“Microsoft is the one that stands out and screams at me as an opportunity. Nvidia screams at me. Apple screams at me”
Kenny Polcari · SlateStone Wealth · Fox Business ↗
…Back to the markets please. Just a little bit of red ink, it's not as bad as it was. The Dow's down 10, that's not much. S&P 500 is down 0.18%, not much. And the Dow's just turned positive, you 're up two points. The Nasdaq though, okay, it's down 0.4 %, about 110 points. That's not that big a sell off. Kenny Polcari with me now. Now, you are positive on tech stocks. You're telling me that rotation is not liquidation. Okay, what tech stocks do you like right now? Listen, I talked about it last week. Microsoft is the one that stands out and screams at me as an opportunity. Nvidia screams at me. Apple screams at me. MU, but MU is very extended, but on any pullback, I would think MU and some of the other memory stocks, even the DRAM ETF, which is the round hill memory ETF is another great way to play that sector. But I think there's plenty of opportunity in tech names. And like I said, over the last couple of weeks, we saw that rotation. Money moved out. Some of the asset managers took advantage of higher prices and reallocated that money. But all that does then is create an opportunity now as these stocks have been dislocated or repriced down 10%, 12%, 15%. In names like Microsoft and Nvidia and…From: this video · 1 claim mined from it
Bear leaning · 2026-06-10
Asked whether Mag 7 stocks should be the source of funds for buying SpaceX/OpenAI/Anthropic IPOs. She adds 'Index investing itself is a little bit backward-looking' @18:19 and calls Mag 7 'a natural place to make room' @18:34. Separately she worries about equity supply: hyperscalers shifting from buybacks to issuance 'the market hasn't been trained on that' @17:43 (sic 5:43).
“My personal take is that they should be I think these are companies that you know They're they're large, but they're not necessarily where the future is”
Stephanie Guild · Robinhood (CIO) · Yahoo Finance ↗
Bull 2026-06
Microsoft is the most oversold large cap; a $550 stock
Dan Ives · Yorkville Ives & Co (per Bloomberg plate Jul 2026; formerly Wedbush) · CNBC
Bull 2026-06
Uber will have the most autonomous vehicles on its platform; cheap at 20x
Jamie Murray · Murray Wealth Group · BNN Bloomberg
Bull 2025-10-30
Gerstner asks how confident he is the $400B RPO turns into revenue over the next couple of years. Nadella: 'we are spending the capital out clear with high certainty that we just need to clear backlog.' @46:47; calls the backlog diversified across 1P and 3P, excluding OpenAI's additional $250B Azure commitment which 'will have a longer duration.'
“Yeah, that $400 billion has a very short duration, as Amy explained. It's the two year duration on average. So that's definitely our intent.”
Satya Nadella · Microsoft (CEO) · BG2 ↗

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