Only calls specific enough to grade appear here: a number or clear outcome, a deadline, a source. Ranked by how many calls have resolved. Fractions on purpose: at these sample sizes a percentage would mislead.
| Pundit | Record | On the clock |
|---|---|---|
Chamath
Social Capital |
4 of 15 correct | – |
Tom Lee
Fundstrat Global Advisors |
3 of 12 correct | 10 |
Cathie Wood
ARK Invest |
3 of 5 correct | 9 |
RP
Raoul Pal
Real Vision / Global Macro Investor |
0 of 3 correct | – |
Geoff Kendrick
Standard Chartered |
1 of 2 correct | 1 |
TM
The Market
Prediction & betting markets (composite) |
0 of 2 correct | – |
Gary Black
The Future Fund |
1 of 1 correct | – |
Ron Baron
Baron Capital |
1 of 1 correct | 1 |
Greg Boutle
BNP Paribas |
1 of 1 correct | – |
Bryn Talkington
Requisite Capital Partners |
1 of 1 correct | – |
Tim Scott
U.S. Senate (Banking Committee chairman) |
1 of 1 correct | – |
MH
Matt Hougan
Bitwise |
0 of 1 correct | 1 |
AH
Arthur Hayes
Maelstrom / BitMEX co-founder |
0 of 1 correct | 1 |
Mike Novogratz
Galaxy Digital |
0 of 1 correct | – |
PL
PlanB
Stock-to-flow author (pseudonymous) |
0 of 1 correct | – |
AT
Antoni Trenchev
Nexo |
0 of 1 correct | – |
Calls written down and dated, not yet resolved. The deadline does the judging.
A resolved call from the archive. This is why the ledger exists.
One email a week: who got scored, what resolves next, where the records moved. Free.