← Leaderboard
DN
Dan Niles
Niles Investment Management
First call on the ledger
No calls filed yet. Quotes in curly quotation marks are verbatim; everything
else is a labeled paraphrase. Every call links its original source. Before you trust the call, check the record.
Where they stand
Views on the record but not scoreable bets: no single number and deadline to grade. Shown in their exact words, never scored.
Dan Niles (Niles Investment Management) says AI data centers are legitimately becoming a securitized asset class that will make financing easier, though Nvidia's flat stock shows investors are not yet convinced.
is AI data centers an asset class? Absolutely. Is there a lot of money being spent? 100%.
Nasdaq since this was said: ▼ -0.3% · 26,588 → 26,507 · as of 2026-09-04
Dan Niles thinks the AI bubble has at least another year to build, with very good returns, before it eventually bursts, by analogy with 1999-2000.
So I think we've got at least another year in this bubble building out. And I think the returns are going to be very, very good.
Nasdaq since this was said: ▼ -0.3% · 26,588 → 26,507 · as of 2026-09-04
Dan Niles expects about another year of AI buildout and then, at some point, a bust in which the new financing schemes will have problems.
So I think we got about another year in this build out. And then at some point you're going to get a bust
Nasdaq since this was said: ▼ -0.3% · 26,588 → 26,507 · as of 2026-09-04
Dan Niles says the six biggest hyperscalers have over $1 trillion of off-balance-sheet financing.
There's over one trillion dollars in off balance sheet financing just looking at the six biggest guys out there.
Nasdaq since this was said: ▼ -0.3% · 26,588 → 26,507 · as of 2026-09-04
Dan Niles cites Google's (cloud) revenue growth accelerating from 63% to 82% last quarter as evidence the AI trade has fundamentals.
And if you look at Google, revenue growth accelerated from 63 percent to 82 percent.
Dan Niles says hyperscaler capex growth is expected to accelerate to almost 100% year over year in the September quarter, supporting Nvidia's valuation.
expected to accelerate even further in the September quarter, almost 100 percent year over year growth
Nasdaq since this was said: ▼ -0.3% · 26,588 → 26,507 · as of 2026-09-04
Dan Niles says Intel will be one of the great semiconductor stocks for the next couple of years, with the $20bn raise removing an overhang and signalling big customers next year.
But I think Intel is going to be one of the great semiconductor stocks for the next couple of years.
Follow Dan Niles
One short email when Dan puts a new call on the record, and when a verdict lands on one. Plain words, free.