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Matt Bloxham
Bloomberg Intelligence
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else is a labeled paraphrase. Every call links its original source. Before you trust the call, check the record.
Where they stand
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Previewing Alphabet's earnings due after the close that day, asked whether the stock sells off no matter what. He also cautions that 'investor reactions to results at the moment are a little bit unpredictable' @7:51 and frames Alphabet as 'a bellwether for the full kind of AI value chain' @7:24.
“I think expectations are pretty robust for Google. So I think it would be quite hard for them to deliver something that's going to really give a significant incremental positive versus where market expectations are already.”
On the day MoonShot's Kimi K3 'is sinking AI and semiconductor stocks' (host @0:00), Bloxham says it is 'going to, I think, create pressure for those big U.S. model developers like anthropic open AI and Google' @1:06, while noting it's 'still early days' on how good the model is @0:25.
“corporates are getting increasingly sensitive and focused around the cost of using AI models. So anything that can potentially deliver similar or equivalent performance for substantially less money is going to become more popular.”
Nasdaq since this was said: ▲ +3.7% · 25,520 → 26,456 · as of 2026-08-05
On the Gemini delay: 'I don't think it's too serious' @2:21; 'a lot of people had written Google off... But that's not been the case. So I think, you know, Google is going to continue to be a strong player' @3:15-3:25.
“I think we will see Google come out with this product relatively soon. And I think it's going to be competitive enough to keep them in the mix with open AI and anthropic.”
Answering 'Is there any crack in this story?' after TSMC raised 2026 revenue growth guidance to 40%+ in USD terms vs the market's ~35-36% @7:10-7:17. He flags 'token maxing' - enterprises 'burning through their budgets quicker than they thought' @8:24 - as the risk that could 'take the shine of some of these capital spending plans' @8:40. In his second hit he notes hyperscaler capex over $700 billion this year with the market 'already expecting that to go to $900 billion or more next year' @24:47.
“I think right now, no, but I think if there is going to be a crack, it remains this kind of theme around the sustainability of enterprise demand.”
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