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Lobo Tiggre

The Independent Speculator
First call on the ledger

No calls filed yet. Quotes in curly quotation marks are verbatim; everything else is a labeled paraphrase. Every call links its original source. Before you trust the call, check the record.

Since they said it

6 directional calls with a price to read (4 bullish, 2 bearish). 1 week later, with the call in 4 of 6; 1 month later, with the call in 4 of 6. Prices as of 2026-09-11. Three fixed windows, the same for every call, always shown together: one week, one month, three months after the first close that followed the tape. What the market did, not a score: a call can have a different horizon, and a view with no number or deadline is never graded here.

Gold from 2026-06-15 to 2026-09-11 · ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · dot = the close that day
4,6413,986
DateMarketCallWhat was said1 week1 month3 months
2026-07-15
from 3,986
GoldBullish (Leaning)“My base case right now is actually a period of correction and consolidation and the next big move will be higher. That is my expectation. Not my prediction.”+1.5%
with the call
+9.9%
with the call
not yet
2026-07-15
from 6.30
CopperBearish (Hedged)“if the AI story goes into reverse”+0.1%
against the call
+4.8%
against the call
not yet
2026-07-15
from 78.95
WTI crudeBearish (Leaning)“I do have a very bullish thesis on oil sort of medium to long term.”+16.8%
against the call
+4.4%
against the call
not yet
2026-07-10
from 3,997
GoldBullish (Leaning)“My base case is still that the next big move is likely to be upwards. But that involves the correction and consolidation first. Which means I'm not in any hurry to buy.”+0.3%
with the call
+9.7%
with the call
not yet
2026-07-10
from 78.14
WTI crudeBullish (Leaning)“But if we're talking second half of 2026, I think we see oil come higher, significantly higher from where we are now.”+6.5%
with the call
+6.5%
with the call
not yet
2026-07-10
from 6.23
CopperBullish“my outlook on copper is very long term.”+1.1%
with the call
+6.1%
with the call
not yet

Where they stand

Views on the record but not scoreable bets: no single number and deadline to grade. Shown in their exact words, never scored.

NeutralGold & Hard Assets 2026-07-15
Sold the bulk of his gold/silver STOCKS on his across-the-board trigger system after the January peak (~$1,300 above current); still holds all bullion; 'less high is not low, lower is not low'; gold ~$4,000 'not really low'
“the fact is, I'm about 80% in cash.”
Lobo Tiggre · The Independent Speculator · Kitco News ↗
Gold since this was said: ▲ +8.2% · 4,044 → 4,375 · as of 2026-09-11
BullishGold & Hard Assets leaning · 2026-07-15
Restates the base case on fresh tape; 2020's consolidation at $2,000 lasted three years; 2011/1980 chart similarities 'imprudent to ignore'; a 50-60% drawdown from the 5,600 peak = sub-3,000 is his unconditional buy
“My base case right now is actually a period of correction and consolidation and the next big move will be higher. That is my expectation. Not my prediction.”
Lobo Tiggre · The Independent Speculator · Kitco News ↗
Gold since this was said: ▲ +8.2% · 4,044 → 4,375 · as of 2026-09-11
BearishThe AI Trade hedged · 2026-07-15
Very bullish copper long-term (structural deficits) but $6 is not low; to the degree copper pricing is AI-narrative-driven (data centers), a reversal is his buying opportunity
“if the AI story goes into reverse”
Lobo Tiggre · The Independent Speculator · Kitco News ↗
Copper since this was said: ▲ +3.8% · 6.29 → 6.54 · as of 2026-09-11
BearishOil & Gas leaning · 2026-07-15
Near-term: futures 'telling us the war is over'; the Hormuz tracker says closed yet 57 transponder-on ships in transit; the post-reopening surge hits refineries next week; midterm incentive for lower prices
“I do have a very bullish thesis on oil sort of medium to long term.”
Lobo Tiggre · The Independent Speculator · Kitco News ↗
WTI crude since this was said: ▲ +25.2% · 79.60 → 99.65 · as of 2026-09-11
BullishUranium leaning · 2026-07-15
Spot ~$85 has sat below the long-term contract price for months, which he calls the real price; would buy a dip 'this week' if he had no uranium; four advanced reactors brought online by Jul 4
“there's potential for a snap move up in spot”
Lobo Tiggre · The Independent Speculator · Kitco News ↗
BullishGold & Hard Assets leaning · 2026-07-10
Rejects the bear label; held all physical bullion through the correction
“My base case is still that the next big move is likely to be upwards. But that involves the correction and consolidation first. Which means I'm not in any hurry to buy.”
Lobo Tiggre · The Independent Speculator · The David Lin Report ↗
Gold since this was said: ▲ +6.6% · 4,104 → 4,375 · as of 2026-09-11
BullishGold & Hard Assets 2026-07-10
His 'stupid cheap' unconditional buy level; explicitly not a prediction that it gets there
“So if gold were to drop 50%, which would be sub 3000, high 2000s, then I think it just becomes a buy no matter what.”
Lobo Tiggre · The Independent Speculator · The David Lin Report ↗
Gold since this was said: ▲ +6.6% · 4,104 → 4,375 · as of 2026-09-11
BullishOil & Gas leaning · 2026-07-10
Now his most bullish near-term call, ranked above uranium
“But if we're talking second half of 2026, I think we see oil come higher, significantly higher from where we are now.”
Lobo Tiggre · The Independent Speculator · The David Lin Report ↗
WTI crude since this was said: ▲ +39.5% · 71.41 → 99.65 · as of 2026-09-11
BullishUranium 2026-07-10
Spot below long-term contract price for months, he notes
“So I think spot has another snapback coming, which would be upward, and that will be good for the stock. So I have high confidence in that, but it's not necessarily a huge move.”
Lobo Tiggre · The Independent Speculator · The David Lin Report ↗
BullishUranium 2026-07-10
Position disclosed on tape
“So yeah, I like uranium. I'm very bullish still on that thesis. It's just not super cheap and I own a bunch already. Most of my portfolio right now is uranium stocks.”
Lobo Tiggre · The Independent Speculator · The David Lin Report ↗
NeutralThe Fed 2026-07-10
On reading the Warsh Fed's tone as hard data
“so far, there's no actual evidence that the Fed is gonna be hawkish. We know that Trump didn't wanna put a hawk in there. All we have is words.”
Lobo Tiggre · The Independent Speculator · The David Lin Report ↗
BullishStock Picks 2026-07-10
Would buy an AI-unwind-driven copper selloff with cash raised earlier this year
“my outlook on copper is very long term.”
Lobo Tiggre · The Independent Speculator · The David Lin Report ↗
Copper since this was said: ▲ +4.8% · 6.23 → 6.54 · as of 2026-09-11

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