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Anastasia Amoroso
Partners Group
First call on the ledger
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else is a labeled paraphrase. Every call links its original source. Before you trust the call, check the record.
Where they stand
Views on the record but not scoreable bets: no single number and deadline to grade. Shown in their exact words, never scored.
Attributes the sell-off to washed-out traders: 'triple levered positions... retail margin... loans in Korea and Taiwan that fueled this trade' (@39:49); SOX 'still up something like 80 percent year to date' (@41:45); adds a next-day call: 'I suspect we'll probably see something positive about Taiwan semis tomorrow' (@40:30).
“On the other hand, I don't think the fundamentals for the chip trade have changed at all. In fact, I think they've actually strengthened and you see that from the likes of ASML.”
Argues markets look through the war because of workarounds - private inventories, the Saudi east-west pipeline, a mooted third UAE pipeline: 'as long as we have those workarounds in place and we double down on them, we can circumvent the rising price of oil' (@42:48).
“Yeah, I mean, I think anything above $100 a barrel starts to catch investors' attention.”
WTI crude since this was said: ▲ +3.6% · 79.60 → 82.49 · as of 2026-07-17
Multipolar world means 'defense spending going up globally' routed into local supply chains (@44:49); prefers 'the parts manufacturers, the equipment manufacturers' over the defense primes (@45:16). Aired as Trump spoke at a Pennsylvania defense-investment summit.
“But if you look at airspace and defense as kind of the share of overall private markets activity, it is still quite small. So I wouldn't call this a stretched trade just yet.”
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