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20 directional calls with a price to read (9 bullish, 11 bearish). 1 week later, with the call in 4 of 11; 1 month later, with the call in 5 of 11; 3 months later, with the call in 4 of 8. Prices as of 2026-09-11. Three fixed windows, the same for every call, always shown together: one week, one month, three months after the first close that followed the tape. What the market did, not a score: a call can have a different horizon, and a view with no number or deadline is never graded here.
Gold from 2025-06-02 to 2026-09-11 · ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · dot = the close that day
Date
Market
Call
What was said
1 week
1 month
3 months
2026-09-08
from 4,416
Gold
Bullish (Leaning)
Copper is at a new all-time record high today and I think that's a good leading indicator of where other commodities are going, including gold.
I think the US stock market has been held up by AI and all of the capex and the expectations of, you know, AI windfall profits, I think are keeping a bid in the US stock market.
I bought a lot more energy stocks myself on the last time we had a big pullback, which I think was earlier in the year. But I still think that they're going higher.
But I think that Bitcoin is going to roll over. I don't think there's a lot of upside. I do think that the bubble has popped. I think the highs are in. I think we're headed a lot lower with Bitcoin.
European central banks can sell U.S. dollars, they can sell U.S. Treasuries, and they can buy more gold. I think that would hit the U.S. where it hurts and it would actually help Europe because gold prices are going to keep going up.
I think that there's a good indication that the U.S. is heading towards a worse financial crisis than what we had in 08, because I think this time it's going to be a sovereign debt crisis and a dollar crisis.
Peter Schiff tells the TheStreet anchor that despite all the hike talk the Fed is more likely to cut rates than raise them (though he thinks it should hike).
they actually haven't hiked rates and I still think that they're more likely to cut them.
Peter Schiff says that with a vote at the September FOMC he would back a 200bp-plus hike plus large balance-sheet reduction; this is what he thinks the Fed should do, not what he expects.
I would vote for a big hike. I don't know, the couple of hundred basis points at least.
Peter Schiff expects the Fed not to hike at the September 2026 FOMC, against market pricing of roughly 60% for a hike.
Well, I still think they won't hike. I don't know what they gain by hiking 25 basis points because it's too little too late to do anything about inflation
Peter Schiff says the national debt will go from $40 trillion to $50 trillion much faster than it went from $30 to $40 trillion, pressuring the dollar and lifting gold.
We're going to go from 40 trillion to 50 trillion a lot faster than we went from 30 trillion to 40 trillion.
Peter Schiff tells retail viewers $4,400 gold is a buying opportunity: support around $4,000, roughly 10% downside against a potential double or triple.
I think that the support is around 4,000. So the downside risk, realistically, in my mind, is only about 10% if you buy gold here.
Peter Schiff says the US will not prevent a currency or sovereign-debt crisis because it will keep running reckless fiscal and monetary policy until forced to stop.
we are not going to prevent a currency crisis or a sovereign debt crisis. We're going to keep pursuing these reckless policies until we have no choice.
Peter Schiff says AI capex and hoped-for AI windfall profits are the only thing keeping a bid under cap-weighted US indexes; ex-AI the market is not doing well.
I think the US stock market has been held up by AI and all of the capex and the expectations of, you know, AI windfall profits, I think are keeping a bid in the US stock market.
Peter Schiff expects US stocks to fall in real (gold) terms while conceding they may not fall in nominal terms because of inflation.
I said US stocks are overpriced. I expect them to fall in real terms. I never really thought that they would go down in nominal terms because I've always believed there'd be a lot of inflation.
Peter Schiff says foreign stocks began beating US stocks again last year and an extended period of foreign outperformance is starting.
starting last year, foreign stocks are smoking US stocks again. And so I think we're going to be in another extended period of time where you get outperformance.
Peter Schiff tells investors to stay out of cash and out of US bonds because inflation destroys fixed income; own gold, silver and foreign stocks instead.
I've been very clear over the years, stay out of cash, stay out of bonds.
Peter Schiff says if the 10-year breaks above 5-5.5% and the 30-year tops 6% he would expect a meaningful stock pullback with forced selling of the mega-cap tech names.
But if we start to get a bigger move up, I would not be surprised to see a meaningful pullback in the stock market.
Peter Schiff says energy stocks are still going higher even after the run, because the AI build-out will consume enormous energy and oil companies will make a lot of money.
I bought a lot more energy stocks myself on the last time we had a big pullback, which I think was earlier in the year. But I still think that they're going higher.
Peter Schiff says Bitcoin's bubble has popped, the highs are in, the recent rally to ~$79k was short covering, and the price is headed a lot lower.
But I think that Bitcoin is going to roll over. I don't think there's a lot of upside. I do think that the bubble has popped. I think the highs are in. I think we're headed a lot lower with Bitcoin.
Peter Schiff says a break below $50,000 could trigger a wave of liquidations and bankruptcies among Bitcoin treasury companies, whose forced selling would have no buyers.
I think that could open up a trap door and you could see a massive wave of liquidation and a big run of bankruptcies, too, of these Bitcoin treasury companies.
Peter Schiff tells a retail investor to hold 10% to as much as 20% in physical precious metals, ~20% short-term foreign bonds, the rest in foreign stocks, zero US stocks.
I would say that people should have 10% to maybe even as much as 20% in physical precious metals.
Peter Schiff would bet the S&P 500 is higher in nominal terms one year from now, choosing it over cash for the next 12 months despite his real-terms bear view.
The S&P, I would bet it would be higher in a year, nominally.
Peter Schiff says inflation is the bigger risk to investors and a recession would only bring more inflation because the government stimulates by printing.
And in fact, if there's a recession, then that's going to be even more inflation.
Peter Schiff tells the interviewer that European central banks should sell dollars and Treasuries and buy gold, because gold prices are going to keep going up.
European central banks can sell U.S. dollars, they can sell U.S. Treasuries, and they can buy more gold. I think that would hit the U.S. where it hurts and it would actually help Europe because gold prices are going to keep going up.
Peter Schiff tells the interviewer the US is heading for a sovereign-debt and dollar crisis worse than 2008 (no date).
I think that there's a good indication that the U.S. is heading towards a worse financial crisis than what we had in 08, because I think this time it's going to be a sovereign debt crisis and a dollar crisis.
Peter Schiff tells the interviewer that if the Fed monetizes Greenland-purchase debt it will create massive inflation, weaken the dollar and push money into gold (conditional).
if the Fed buys the bonds that the government has to sell to raise the money to buy Greenland, then that's just going to create massive inflation in the United States and further suppress the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar and cause more money to flow from dollars and treasuries into gold.
Peter Schiff tells the interviewer that Trump's tariffs are plainly unconstitutional and the Supreme Court should strike them 9-0.
there's no question that Trump's tariffs are unconstitutional. I mean, it's not even a close call. It should be nine to one. I mean, nine to zero in favor of striking them down
Peter Schiff tells the interviewer that despite the legal merits the Supreme Court may bow to political and fiscal pressure and not strike down the tariffs (hedged).
Supreme Court has a history of bowing to political pressure and there's going to be a lot of pressure on the court not to strike down these tariffs
Peter Schiff tells the interviewer that a US dollar collapse and protracted decline would be a net win for the rest of the world, especially emerging markets.
when the dollar collapses and interest rates and consumer prices surge in the United States and we go into a protracted economic decline, I think that's actually a big win for the rest of the world.
Peter Schiff says any gold or silver miner makes money from here; the group is ridiculously cheap with exploding earnings.
I don't see how you don't make money buying any gold stock or silver stock. I think the whole group is ridiculously cheap and the earnings are exploding.
Peter Schiff says US interest rates are going a lot higher from here and when they do the national debt cannot be sustained.
But the reality is rates are going a lot higher from here. They should be a lot higher from here. And when they do get a lot higher, we can't sustain the debt.
Peter Schiff says tariffs will keep more dollars onshore, probably pushing consumer-goods prices up at the expense of asset prices.
So we'll have more money chasing fewer goods as a result of the tariffs, and that will push up consumer good prices at the expense of asset prices. That's what will probably happen.
Peter Schiff says the US does not have the hottest economy in the world and factories are not springing up, citing the weak dollar as money leaving.
to say that factories are springing up all over the place is a complete lie. That's not happening. And we don't have the hottest economy in the world by a long shot.
Peter Schiff predicts the Trump Treasury will keep issuing short-dated debt rather than terming out, because heavy long-bond issuance would push long rates up.
As bonds mature, they're going to keep the maturity short. They're not going to go for long-term bonds either.
Peter Schiff says gold mining stocks, despite being up 45-50% on the year, are ridiculously cheap given how profitable they will become as the dollar falls.
even though they're up 45%, 50% on the year, something like that, they are ridiculously cheap