P U N D I T  R U M B L E The Tape Debates Scores This week Insights
← Leaderboard
EN

Eric Nuttall

Ninepoint Partners
First call on the ledger

No calls filed yet. Quotes in curly quotation marks are verbatim; everything else is a labeled paraphrase. Every call links its original source. Before you trust the call, check the record.

Since they said it

5 directional calls with a price to read (3 bullish, 2 bearish). 1 week later, with the call in 3 of 5; 1 month later, with the call in 3 of 5. Prices as of 2026-09-11. Three fixed windows, the same for every call, always shown together: one week, one month, three months after the first close that followed the tape. What the market did, not a score: a call can have a different horizon, and a view with no number or deadline is never graded here.

WTI crude from 2026-06-08 to 2026-09-11 · ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · dot = the close that day
102.568.55
DateMarketCallWhat was said1 week1 month3 months
2026-08-10
from 83.20
WTI crudeBullishthe floor price for oil, I think, is at least $10 higher than when the war began. And as a result, we see very meaningful upside remaining in energy stocks.+2.1%
with the call
+23.2%
with the call
not yet
2026-08-10
from 2.77
Natural gasBearish (Leaning)We're not overly bullish on natural gas for the interim, let's call it six months-ish.+0.3%
against the call
+2.4%
against the call
not yet
2026-08-10
from 83.20
WTI crudeBearishyou would see that the stock's done pretty much nothing. This is a company where they have chased production growth to the demise of the gas price.+2.1%
against the call
+23.2%
against the call
not yet
2026-07-06
from 70.44
WTI crudeBullish“Global onshore oil inventories are at their lowest levels on record. That's despite the biggest release in history from strategic stockpiles”+12.6%
with the call
+6.8%
with the call
not yet
2026-07-03
from 68.55
WTI crudeBullish“We're down 8.6 million barrels per day of production, and we're hurtling towards the wall unless things radically improve soon”+14.0%
with the call
+10.5%
with the call
not yet

Where they stand

Views on the record but not scoreable bets: no single number and deadline to grade. Shown in their exact words, never scored.

NeutralOil & Gas 2026-08-10
Eric Nuttall (Ninepoint) tells BNN viewers the US SPR has fallen below 300 million barrels, its lowest since 1982-83, so a key oil price buffer is used up.
the US SBR has breached the 300 million barrel numbers. This is the lowest level since about 1982, 1983.
WTI crude since this was said: ▲ +21.3% · 82.13 → 99.65 · as of 2026-09-11
BullishOil & Gas 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells BNN viewers the post-war floor for oil is at least $10 above the pre-war level and energy stocks still have meaningful upside.
the floor price for oil, I think, is at least $10 higher than when the war began. And as a result, we see very meaningful upside remaining in energy stocks.
WTI crude since this was said: ▲ +21.3% · 82.13 → 99.65 · as of 2026-09-11
NeutralOil & Gas leaning · 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells BNN viewers the war most likely ends with a deal that leaves Iran controlling the Strait ('the trade' = garble of 'the strait'), keeping oil structurally tighter.
Or two, we get the biggest talk of all time, and they give control of the trade over to Iran, which is what I think is going to happen.
WTI crude since this was said: ▲ +21.3% · 82.13 → 99.65 · as of 2026-09-11
BullishStock Picks 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells viewer Kyle he prefers Suncor over CNQ: CNQ is well run but near full value, Suncor has more upside.
So I'm going to go with Suncor. CNQ is an exceptionally well-run company.
NeutralStock Picks leaning · 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells BNN viewers CNQ at ~8.7x on $70 oil is approaching fair value.
So I would say that stock is approaching fair value using that as a reference price.
BullishStock Picks 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells BNN viewers Suncor has about 40% upside over two years at a static $70 oil (about 60% at $80).
So that would give us about 40% upside two years out using a static $70 Royal.
BullishOil & Gas 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells caller Rob that oil is massively underpriced given 7 mb/d of lost supply, with strength showing in refined products until China returns to the crude market.
My own view is the current oil price is massively underpriced. Most of us would have thought you'd be in the mid 150s right now.
WTI crude since this was said: ▲ +21.3% · 82.13 → 99.65 · as of 2026-09-11
BullishOil & Gas leaning · 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells BNN viewers China's imports rising 950 kb/d July over June signal China returning to the oil market, which should push refined-product strength into WTI.
Encouragingly what we're seeing is their imports are up 950,000 barrels per day July over June. We think that trend will continue.
WTI crude since this was said: ▲ +21.3% · 82.13 → 99.65 · as of 2026-09-11
BullishStock Picks 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells caller Amin he remains a committed Athabasca Oil holder (~7% of fund) and sees about 40% upside over one to two years.
We will put about an eight multiple on this. We've got about 40% upside over the next year to two years.
WTI crude since this was said: ▲ +21.3% · 82.13 → 99.65 · as of 2026-09-11
BullishStock Picks hedged · 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells caller JC Baytex has 20-25% upside at $70 oil and 45-50% at $80; a sub-3% fund weight.
they have a very meaningful leverage to a rising oil price where upside would go from about 20 to about 45 to 50% using $80.
BearishStock Picks 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells caller Daniel Vermilion Energy is a value trap; better Montney/Duvernay operators exist.
it's a value trap. They haven't done anything yet to change my mind on this.
BullishStock Picks 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells BNN viewers he models Cardinal Energy growing from ~26,000 to ~36,000 bbl/d by 2030, likes it for its ~6.4% dividend and oil leverage.
We would have them growing production kind of like rateably from about 26,000 barrels per now to about 36,000, 2030.
BullishOil & Gas 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells BNN viewers that despite a 41% YTD gain, energy equities do not yet price even his $70 oil base case.
up 41% on the year, we don't think equity prices are reflecting our base case of $70 oil
WTI crude since this was said: ▲ +21.3% · 82.13 → 99.65 · as of 2026-09-11
NeutralOil & Gas 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells BNN viewers US shale production will be modest-growth-to-plateau because Permian inventory is depleted, pushing US firms toward Canada.
We think that US shale production is going to be a very, very modest growth to plateau going forward
WTI crude since this was said: ▲ +21.3% · 82.13 → 99.65 · as of 2026-09-11
BullishStock Picks 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells BNN viewers Whitecap Resources (11% weight) has ~40% upside to a 7x multiple at $70 oil.
We think a seven multiple is pretty achievable. That's 40% upside from here.
BearishStock Picks leaning · 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells BNN viewers Expand Energy is not exciting at a 7% free-cash-flow yield and he would not build a position now.
you can squeeze out a seven. It would be trading at 7% free cash flow yield. To me, that's not exciting.
BearishOil & Gas leaning · 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells BNN viewers he is not bullish on North American natural gas for roughly the next six months, turning more positive only in 2027-2028.
We're not overly bullish on natural gas for the interim, let's call it six months-ish.
Natural gas since this was said: ▲ +0.0% · 2.79 → 2.79 · as of 2026-09-11
BullishOil & Gas 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells BNN viewers energy investors should own oil names now, not natural gas names.
But you want to own oil right now. You don't want to own natural gas.
WTI crude since this was said: ▲ +21.3% · 82.13 → 99.65 · as of 2026-09-11
BearishStock Picks 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells caller Val to switch out of Tourmaline: it chased production growth into a collapsing gas price and he would need to be more bullish on gas to like it.
you would see that the stock's done pretty much nothing. This is a company where they have chased production growth to the demise of the gas price.
WTI crude since this was said: ▲ +21.3% · 82.13 → 99.65 · as of 2026-09-11
BullishStock Picks hedged · 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells caller Jim Tamarack Valley has 15-20% upside at $70 oil over a couple of years and ~50% (about $19-20/share) in three years at $80 oil.
a $19 to $20 a share price about two or three years from now. So let's call it 50 ish percent upside three years from now if you're a little more bullish on the oil price.
BearishOil & Gas 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells BNN viewers Canada is the worst natural gas market on the planet, so he is not bullish on gas-weighted Advantage Energy.
natural gas name, largely focused on Canada, which is the crappiest natural gas market on planet Earth.
WTI crude since this was said: ▲ +21.3% · 82.13 → 99.65 · as of 2026-09-11
BearishStock Picks 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells BNN viewers Advantage Energy is not a name he would buy now despite an applauded CEO change.
So this is not a name we would look at buying right now.
NeutralStock Picks 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells caller Orlando Freehold Royalties is a safe 6.3% yielder with low-single-digit appreciation, not a play on higher oil.
this is not the name for you. You should be strictly using it for low single digit returns in addition to the 6.3% dividend yield.
NeutralOil & Gas 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells caller Scott the WCS heavy differential should stay around $12.50, give or take a dollar or two.
We think 1250-ish is still a reasonable differential, you know, give or take a dollar or two in either direction.
WTI crude since this was said: ▲ +21.3% · 82.13 → 99.65 · as of 2026-09-11
BullishStock Picks 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells BNN viewers top pick Cenovus is the cheapest quality large cap in North America with 50-60% upside ($54-55 at $70 oil, $62-63 at $80).
company with RockShaw, the balance sheet, extremely good management team, decades and decades worth of stay flat inventory, potentially 50, 60% upside from here.
BullishStock Picks 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells BNN viewers top pick Strathcona should pay about 10% a year in dividends (3% base plus 4-8% special) with production growth and oil leverage.
We would peg that at roughly a four to 8% special dividend. So that's 4% at $70, 8% at $80, plus their based yield now is about three ish. So you're going to get paid about 10% a year in dividends.
BullishStock Picks leaning · 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells BNN viewers top pick Ovintiv trades at such a discount to asset value that it is very susceptible to being acquired.
we never buy names for M&A, but we think this is very, very susceptible.
BullishStock Picks 2026-08-10
Nuttall tells BNN viewers Ovintiv has 30-40% upside over one to two years depending on the oil price.
call a 30 to 40% upside depending on your oil price for this name over the next one to two years.
BullishOil & Gas 2026-07-06
Citing inventory-based fair-value models for crude:
“Global onshore oil inventories are at their lowest levels on record. That's despite the biggest release in history from strategic stockpiles”
Eric Nuttall · Ninepoint Partners · YouTube ↗
WTI crude since this was said: ▲ +45.4% · 68.55 → 99.65 · as of 2026-09-11
BullishOil & Gas leaning · 2026-07-06
“I think the market is overly bearish now”
Eric Nuttall · Ninepoint Partners · YouTube ↗
WTI crude since this was said: ▲ +45.4% · 68.55 → 99.65 · as of 2026-09-11
BullishOil & Gas 2026-07-06
Citing inventory-based fair-value models for crude:
“they think that Brent should be at roughly $130 to $140 today, given where inventories stand.”
Eric Nuttall · Ninepoint Partners · YouTube ↗
WTI crude since this was said: ▲ +45.4% · 68.55 → 99.65 · as of 2026-09-11
BullishOil & Gas 2026-07-03
“We're down 8.6 million barrels per day of production, and we're hurtling towards the wall unless things radically improve soon”
Eric Nuttall · Ninepoint Partners · BNN Bloomberg ↗
WTI crude since this was said: ▲ +45.1% · 68.69 → 99.65 · as of 2026-09-11

Follow Eric Nuttall

One short email when Eric puts a new call on the record, and when a verdict lands on one. Plain words, free.

Before you trust the call, check the record.
We write down what public figures predict, in their exact words, and check the result when the deadline arrives. Every line links to its source. How we score · Corrections · The scoreboard · The data
© 2026 Pundit Rumble · independent and unaffiliated · updated every market morning · not investment advice.
Home Tape Debates Scores This week Insights