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Jeremy Grantham
GMO
Photo: editorial use
First call on the ledger
No calls filed yet. Quotes in curly quotation marks are verbatim; everything
else is a labeled paraphrase. Every call links its original source. Before you trust the call, check the record.
Where they stand
Views on the record but not scoreable bets: no single number and deadline to grade. Shown in their exact words, never scored.
Sell all your US tech stocks; a 70% decline would not be unexpected
Bitcoin will certainly go to zero (he hedges: in the distant future)
SpaceX will fail to deliver its prospectus promises (and he owns it)
House prices could come down 30%
Own equities outside America; they do okay over 10-20 years
Of the Mag 7 AI race, there'll be only one survivor
Not confident US equities will be intact in 5 to 10 years
When this bubble breaks, expect a recession among the worst since the Depression (1972 analogy)
The Mag 7 were seven monopolies; now they fight to one survivor, six of seven lose
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