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Oil Hormuz
1 bull · 2 bear · 6 neutral · exact words, dated and sourced
The tape claims filed per week
What the people who move markets are saying about this, in their own
words. These are views on the record, not scored bets: when a call here grows a number
and a deadline, it moves to the scoreboard. Newest first.
All Neutral (6) Bear (2) Bull (1)
Neutral 2026-07-29
the US objective vs Israel's, as she frames it. subject stripped: 'President Trump, the United States, wants...'; the point is the two are NOT aligned
“wants to open the Strait of H ormuz. That's our primary objective”
Neutral 2026-07-28
the red line as he states it. lobbyist policy advocacy
“we can't end up with Iran controlling the Strait of Hormuz”
Neutral leaning · 2026-07-27
pipelines that avoid the strait, done next year maybe 2027. timing ambiguous between host and guest; do not pin 2027 to Eisman without the frame-check
“pretty close to being finished”
Bear 2026-07-27
13 nights of strikes without ending the threat. NEGATED CLAUSE: quote must carry the didn-t-really-seem-to lead or it reads as the opposite
“didn't really seem to diminish Iran's ability to threaten shipping”
Neutral leaning · 2026-07-26
military timeline to reopen the strait. event claim WILL; presumes the conflict stays a limited operation (his yet caveat)
“likely will take a few weeks to accomplish that task”
Neutral 2026-07-26
scope of the operation. the yet signals possible escalation
“This is a limited operation to open the Straits of Hormuz”
Bear 2026-07-24
prospects for reopening the strait. geopolitical analysis; the quote is the back half of an if-Pakistan-and-China-get-involved conditional
“very, very difficult when it comes to actually getting a solution on the Strait of Hormuz”
Bull 2026-07-24
Hormuz reopening timeline
“we're pushing that reopening into next year”
WTI crude since this was said: ▼ -5.7% · 89.31 → 84.19 · as of 2026-07-29
Neutral 2026-07-24
what the strait carries. factual throughput; do not misread as current flow
“15 million barrels a day of crude that leaves through there”
WTI crude since this was said: ▼ -5.7% · 89.31 → 84.19 · as of 2026-07-29
Head to head
Pick any two voices in this debate; their freshest claims go side by side.
Evelyn Farkas Mike Sommers Steve Eisman Stewart Livingston Wallace Jack Keane Jonathan Panikoff Matt Smith Evelyn Farkas Mike Sommers Steve Eisman Stewart Livingston Wallace Jack Keane Jonathan Panikoff Matt Smith
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