← Leaderboard
JK
John Kilduff
Again Capital
First call on the ledger
No calls filed yet. Quotes in curly quotation marks are verbatim; everything
else is a labeled paraphrase. Every call links its original source. Before you trust the call, check the record.
Where they stand
Views on the record but not scoreable bets: no single number and deadline to grade. Shown in their exact words, never scored.
Bear
2026-07-02
“This is the peak gasoline demand period… It'll fall off from here. I suspect by Labor Day you will see a considerable price drop at the pump” (~$3.25 vs President's “aspirational” $2.50)
…So that's also feeding into this higher gasoline price relative to the crude oil price you're seeing. Yeah, on that subject, I mean, gas prices are still about a dollar per gallon higher than they were when the war in Iran began. So why are those two prices not falling exactly in tandem? Right. I like to use the analogy that the crude oil is the flour, the gasoline is the cake. They got to make that flour into cake. And we just don't have the bakeries going full tilt right now to be able to bring that product to market. So those prices are staying elevated. We're seeing terrific demand here in the United States for gasoline. We got a report this morning that showed really robust gasoline demand. This is the peak, though. This week, the next week, this is the peak gasoline demand period here in the U.S. It'll fall off from here. I suspect by Labor Day you will see a considerable price drop at the pump as well here in the U.S. I don't know about the President's aspirational 250 a gallon, but certainly down around 325 is a realistic target for that time period. The war has also illustrated how much leverage Iran really has over global oil prices. Do you think its ability to control the Strait of Hormuz will create a more volatile energy market for the foreseeable future? In the near term, absolutely. They've shown their willingness to lash out at ship traffic through the strait.…From: this video · 1 claim mined from it
The Sunday Standings
One email a week: who got scored, what resolves next, where the records moved. Free.