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Michael Ball

(affiliation not stated on tape)
First call on the ledger

No calls filed yet. Quotes in curly quotation marks are verbatim; everything else is a labeled paraphrase. Every call links its original source. Before you trust the call, check the record.

Where they stand

Views on the record but not scoreable bets: no single number and deadline to grade. Shown in their exact words, never scored.

NeutralThe Fed hedged · 2026-07-18
'Just to reset the levels'; no large hiking cycle; 'Walsh certainly not signaling that'.
“maybe a reversal of the Powell cuts and maybe a subsequent, maybe 75 basis points of hikes just to reset the levels”
Michael Ball · (affiliation not stated on tape) · economy @Fed funds path
BearThe S&P 500 leaning · 2026-07-18
Weak buybacks plus heavy IPO and AI paper against investor demand.
“finally we're gonna have more supply than demand.”
Michael Ball · (affiliation not stated on tape) · markets @US equities
BearSpaceX leaning · 2026-07-18
Came in expensive; marketed as a cloud not a rocket; now below IPO price.
“it's now fallen into this momentum unwind in almost all things AI.”
Michael Ball · (affiliation not stated on tape) · markets @SpaceX

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