← Leaderboard
NO
Nicholas Owens
Morningstar
First call on the ledger
No calls filed yet. Quotes in curly quotation marks are verbatim; everything
else is a labeled paraphrase. Every call links its original source. Before you trust the call, check the record.
Where they stand
Views on the record but not scoreable bets: no single number and deadline to grade. Shown in their exact words, never scored.
Reaffirming his pre-IPO $62 fair value with SpaceX at ~$133 (down 40% from peak, below the $135 IPO price). Bull case worth $130-160 has 'only a 7% chance' @3:10; medium case ~$71 @3:21. On whether the stock keeps falling into lockup expiries: 'I think that seems likely' @5:52 (teaser duplicate of that exchange at 0:00). Street consensus he rebuts: 27 of 31 buys, $242 average target.
“I have a discounted cash flow model. We have forecasts out to 2045. We're discounting those today. So we're saying these shares are fundamentally worth $62 today, again, probability weighted.”
BullSpaceX
leaning · 2026-07-16
Despite his $62 fair value he expects a strong first public earnings print ('earnings August something, August 8th or 9th' @4:29), citing 'those rental agreements with Anthropic and Google... pretty nice chunks of revenue at low marginal cost' @10:38. On the full-year stock path he stays neutral: 'Honestly, I think it could go either way' @9:47, since 'there has to be more demand than supply for the stock to go up' @11:22.
“I expect the quarterly report to be glorious. We have pretty good growth rates for even for 2026.”
Follow Nicholas Owens
One short email when Nicholas puts a new call on the record, and when a verdict lands on one. Plain words, free.