0 of 1 correct
0 correct, 1 missed. Quotes in curly quotation marks are verbatim; everything else is a labeled paraphrase. Every call links its original source. Before you trust the call, check the record.
Scored calls
Missed
“The next big leg is up to $100,000, and that wouldn't surprise me at all if we crack a hundred by the end of the year” - Bitcoin
Where they stand
Views on the record but not scoreable bets: no single number and deadline to grade. Shown in their exact words, never scored.
BearBitcoin & Crypto
Rejects the Tom Lee $100k year-end call; says a break higher needs the Clarity Act, Fed cuts and a fresh buyer base, none of which he sees.
“80 is gonna be a top... But I would say we're 60/80 for the rest of the year”
Mike Novogratz · Galaxy Digital · markets @BitcoinBitcoin since this was said: ▼ -0.1% · 64,796 → 64,703 · as of 2026-08-05
BullBitcoin & Crypto
Too many store-of-value holders committed for it to break down.
“I think Bitcoin probably holds 60,000.”
Mike Novogratz · Galaxy Digital · markets @BitcoinBitcoin since this was said: ▼ -0.1% · 64,796 → 64,703 · as of 2026-08-05
BearBitcoin & Crypto
Avalanche/Solana-type 'association tokens' that added no economic value.
“some will survive, but many will drift down because they were really association tokens.”
Mike Novogratz · Galaxy Digital · markets @AltcoinsBitcoin since this was said: ▼ -0.1% · 64,796 → 64,703 · as of 2026-08-05
BearBitcoin & Crypto
Vitalik's reduced presence weakened Ethereum's store-of-value case.
“less presence hurt that ecosystem because he was such a charismatic in his own way and brilliant and decent guy”
Mike Novogratz · Galaxy Digital · markets @EthereumBitcoin since this was said: ▼ -0.1% · 64,796 → 64,703 · as of 2026-08-05
BearBitcoin & Crypto
Says Saylor is not a fraud but is over-levered and a drag on BTC.
“he put too much leverage onto a big pile of coins and he's got to dig himself out of this over leveraged position.”
Mike Novogratz · Galaxy Digital · markets @BitcoinBitcoin since this was said: ▼ -0.1% · 64,796 → 64,703 · as of 2026-08-05
HoldThe Fed
Inflation good enough to avoid hikes, not soft enough for cuts.
“I don't think we cut rates this year. I think we'll be good enough not to hike them.”
Mike Novogratz · Galaxy Digital · economy @Fed funds pathNeutralThe Fed
A fall hike conditional on inflation staying sanguine.
“I don't think Kevin hikes rates at this next meeting but he probably does it in the fall”
Mike Novogratz · Galaxy Digital · economy @Fed funds pathBearThe S&P 500
Record leverage exceeding 1929, 2007 and 1999 peaks.
“we have never, ever had as much leverage... it's a very dangerous place to be.”
Mike Novogratz · Galaxy Digital · markets @US equitiesS&P 500 since this was said: ▲ +3.8% · 7,458 → 7,742 · as of 2026-08-05
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We write down what public figures predict, in their exact words, and check the result when the deadline arrives. Every line links to its source. How we score · Corrections · The scoreboard
© 2026 Pundit Rumble · independent and unaffiliated · updated every market morning · not investment advice.
We write down what public figures predict, in their exact words, and check the result when the deadline arrives. Every line links to its source. How we score · Corrections · The scoreboard
© 2026 Pundit Rumble · independent and unaffiliated · updated every market morning · not investment advice.