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First call on the ledger
No calls filed yet. Quotes in curly quotation marks are verbatim; everything
else is a labeled paraphrase. Every call links its original source. Before you trust the call, check the record.
Where they stand
Views on the record but not scoreable bets: no single number and deadline to grade. Shown in their exact words, never scored.
capex continuity across the economy. observed-evidence claim; first name only on tape, surname from the show billing
“we actually see no signs of any slowdown in overall CAPEX”
Nasdaq since this was said: ▲ +4.6% · 24,932 → 26,082 · as of 2026-09-10
macro resilience call. caveat on tape: sentiment already slipping
“I'm not worried about the economy slipping into recession”
HoldFed
leaning · 2026-07-27
Wednesday FOMC expectation. her next-move view is a hike; do not read as dovish
“our expectation is not that we're gonna get a hike this week”
positioning against duration. scope is long-duration bonds; she is bullish equities in the same tape
“we've remained very short duration in terms of our portfolio”
US 10-yr yield since this was said: 4.64% → 4.94% (+30 bp) · as of 2026-09-10
NeutralFed
leaning · 2026-07-27
directional call on the Fed's next move, timing not this week. team view with an explicit timing hedge
“the most likely next move from the Fed is a hike”
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