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Jensen Huang

Jensen Huang

Nvidia
Photo: Editorial (Option A policy, Jun 10, 2026) - owner-supplied
First call on the ledger

1 still on the clock. Quotes in curly quotation marks are verbatim; everything else is a labeled paraphrase. Every call links its original source. Before you trust the call, check the record.

On the clock

Written down and dated. Not judged until the deadline arrives.

Said Mar 16, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2027
Nvidia expects “$1 trillion” in purchase orders for Blackwell and Vera Rubin through 2027.
Source: CNBC
Nvidia since the call: +20.6% · 183.2 → 221.0 · as of 2026-08-05

Where they stand

Views on the record but not scoreable bets: no single number and deadline to grade. Shown in their exact words, never scored.

BullSemis hedged · 2026-07-25
decade-scale demand view. hedged on tape (my guess / probably); he caps the feasible pace at ~doubling per year
“the semiconductor industry is probably going to have to be 10 times larger than it is today”
NeutralSemis 2026-07-25
Korea partnerships scale. STANCE corrected bull->neutral: a deal announcement, not a market call; window says OVER $500B, no timeframe
“$500 billion of business with each other”
Nvidia since this was said: +6.8% · 206.8 → 221.0 · as of 2026-08-05
NeutralAi Open 2026-07-25
open-weight models stance. STANCE corrected bull->neutral: policy advocacy, no asset direction
“open models is essential for safety”

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Before you trust the call, check the record.
We write down what public figures predict, in their exact words, and check the result when the deadline arrives. Every line links to its source. How we score · Corrections · The scoreboard
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