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Jeff Booth

Ego Death Capital / author
First call on the ledger

No calls filed yet. Quotes in curly quotation marks are verbatim; everything else is a labeled paraphrase. Every call links its original source. Before you trust the call, check the record.

Since they said it

5 directional calls with a price to read (2 bullish, 3 bearish). 1 week later, with the call in 4 of 5; 1 month later, with the call in 2 of 2. Prices as of 2026-09-11. Three fixed windows, the same for every call, always shown together: one week, one month, three months after the first close that followed the tape. What the market did, not a score: a call can have a different horizon, and a view with no number or deadline is never graded here.

Bitcoin from 2026-05-31 to 2026-09-11 · ▲ bullish · ▼ bearish · dot = the close that day
81,26558,566
DateMarketCallWhat was said1 week1 month3 months
2026-08-16
from 62,844
BitcoinBearishThere's a whole bunch of trying to centralize Bitcoin, or trying to centralize all these other coins, new use cases, which I haven't seen one work.+23.7%
against the call
not yetnot yet
2026-08-16
from 62,844
BitcoinBullishBut do I think Bitcoin's decentralized and secure right now? Yes, I do.+23.7%
with the call
not yetnot yet
2026-08-16
from 26,645
NasdaqBearishthe river run power is at two and a half cents and data centers here are paying five and six, seven cents. They're going to go broke.-2.5%
with the call
not yetnot yet
2026-06-29
from 7,499
S&P 500Bearish“every single asset is overpriced because the money is underneath it is already insolvent.”-0.2%
with the call
-0.8%
with the call
not yet
2026-06-29
from 60,152
BitcoinBullish“I think it's gonna accelerate. I think it's every single thing is gonna be repriced in Bitcoin. Everything over time.”+6.4%
with the call
+6.3%
with the call
not yet

Where they stand

Views on the record but not scoreable bets: no single number and deadline to grade. Shown in their exact words, never scored.

BearishThe U.S. Economy 2026-08-16
Jeff Booth (EgoDeath Capital) tells Scott Melker that global debt is mathematically unpayable and the credit-based system will keep degrading and debasing currency.
Global debt can't be repaid. It's impossible. So all of the things from that system get worse and worse and worse.
BearishBitcoin & Crypto 2026-08-16
Jeff Booth says every attempt to centralize Bitcoin or build new-use-case coins has failed; Bitcoin only needs to be money.
There's a whole bunch of trying to centralize Bitcoin, or trying to centralize all these other coins, new use cases, which I haven't seen one work.
Bitcoin since this was said: ▲ +22.1% · 63,031 → 76,930 · as of 2026-09-11
BullishBitcoin & Crypto 2026-08-16
Jeff Booth says Bitcoin remains decentralized and secure today, and the BIP110 fight usefully surfaced weaknesses that will now be addressed.
But do I think Bitcoin's decentralized and secure right now? Yes, I do.
Bitcoin since this was said: ▲ +22.1% · 63,031 → 76,930 · as of 2026-09-11
BearishThe AI Trade 2026-08-16
Jeff Booth says high-cost data centers and Bitcoin miners paying 5-7c/kWh will go broke as mining migrates to 2.5c run-of-river and cheaper solar power.
the river run power is at two and a half cents and data centers here are paying five and six, seven cents. They're going to go broke.
Nasdaq since this was said: ▼ -2.4% · 26,729 → 26,082 · as of 2026-09-10
BearishThe AI Trade hedged · 2026-08-16
Jeff Booth says that, like Bitcoin treasury companies, everybody in AI today is buying the top and such late buying collapses on them.
Which would be normal, and for every AI today, everybody's buying the top, right? Because in the past they made all this money and they buy the top and it collapses on them.
Nasdaq since this was said: ▼ -2.4% · 26,729 → 26,082 · as of 2026-09-10
BullishBitcoin & Crypto hedged · 2026-08-16
Jeff Booth says Strategy is likely fine and, if Bitcoin emerges as a currency, becomes one of the most valuable companies; if Bitcoin stays a mere financial instrument it could be taken over by the government.
It won't, because Bitcoin is emerging as a currency. And if Bitcoin emerges as a currency, then strategy becomes one of the most valuable companies around, because they went to where they went to early.
Bitcoin since this was said: ▲ +22.1% · 63,031 → 76,930 · as of 2026-09-11
BullishBitcoin & Crypto 2026-08-16
Jeff Booth says the transition to a Bitcoin-based system is inevitable and only the timeline is uncertain; mining pools, mining centralization and a single reference implementation are short-term risks.
I think it's inevitable, it's just a matter of timeline.
Bitcoin since this was said: ▲ +22.1% · 63,031 → 76,930 · as of 2026-09-11
BearishThe Crash Question 2026-06-29
“every single asset is overpriced because the money is underneath it is already insolvent.”
Jeff Booth · Ego Death Capital / author · YouTube interview ↗
S&P 500 since this was said: ▲ +2.0% · 7,440 → 7,592 · as of 2026-09-10
BullishBitcoin & Crypto 2026-06-29
“I think it's gonna accelerate. I think it's every single thing is gonna be repriced in Bitcoin. Everything over time.”
Jeff Booth · Ego Death Capital / author · YouTube interview ↗
Bitcoin since this was said: ▲ +29.3% · 59,495 → 76,930 · as of 2026-09-11
BullishBitcoin & Crypto leaning · 2026-06-29
“I believe that the long-term IRR of Bitcoin is going to be about 40%.”
Jeff Booth · Ego Death Capital / author · YouTube interview ↗
Bitcoin since this was said: ▲ +29.3% · 59,495 → 76,930 · as of 2026-09-11

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