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Goldman Sachs Research

(organization)
1 of 1 correct

1 correct, 0 missed; 1 still on the clock. Quotes in curly quotation marks are verbatim; everything else is a labeled paraphrase. Every call links its original source. Before you trust the call, check the record.

Scored calls

Said May 29, 2026 · deadline Jul 19, 2026Correct
Goldman's Elo-based model makes Spain the most probable 2026 World Cup winner at 26%, ahead of France (19%) and Argentina (14%).
What happened: Spain won the 2026 World Cup final 1-0 over Argentina (AET) at MetLife Stadium, Jul 19 2026
Source: Bloomberg

On the clock

Written down and dated. Not judged until the deadline arrives.

Said 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026
World Cup hosting effect on host economies is “marginally positive but statistically insignificant”; long-run impact “effectively zero”

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