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Goldman Sachs Research

(organization)

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On the clock

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Said May 29, 2026 · resolves Jul 19, 2026

Goldman's Elo-based model makes Spain the most probable 2026 World Cup winner at 26%, ahead of France (19%) and Argentina (14%).

Source: Bloomberg

Said 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026

World Cup hosting effect on host economies is “marginally positive but statistically insignificant”; long-run impact “effectively zero”

Source: Goldman Sachs via SGI Europe

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Every line on this site is backed by a dated, sourced entry in our records. We write down what public figures predict, then check when reality answers. How we score · Corrections
Pundit Rumble · punditrumble.com · built 2026-07-09 from the records · never hand-edited · not investment advice.