P U N D I T R U M B L E The Tape Debates Scores

Arthur Hayes

Maelstrom / BitMEX co-founder

0 of 1 correct

0 correct, 1 missed; 1 still on the clock. Quotes in curly quotation marks are verbatim; everything else is a labeled paraphrase. Every call links its original source. Before you trust the call, check the record.

Scored calls

Said Nov 26, 2025 · deadline Dec 31, 2025Missed

Stood by his $200,000-$250,000 end-of-2025 Bitcoin target with five weeks left: “I'm going to stick with it… If I'm wrong it doesn't matter… I'm long, I'm still happy either way”

What happened: BTC ended 2025 below $90,000

Source: BeInCrypto / Milk Road Show

On the clock

Written down and dated. Not judged until the deadline arrives.

Said May 8, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026

Bitcoin to $125,000 by December 2026, conditional on central-bank easing

Source: 24/7 Wall St

Bitcoin since the call: ▼ -19.3% · 80,197 → 64,703 · as of 2026-08-05

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Before you trust the call, check the record.
We write down what public figures predict, in their exact words, and check the result when the deadline arrives. Every line links to its source. How we score · Corrections · The scoreboard
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