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AH
Arthur Hayes
Maelstrom / BitMEX co-founder
0 of 1 correct
0 correct, 1 missed; 1 still on the clock. Quotes in curly quotation marks are verbatim; everything
else is a labeled paraphrase. Every call links its original source. Before you trust the call, check the record.
Scored calls
Said Nov 26, 2025 · deadline Dec 31, 2025Missed
Stood by his $200,000-$250,000 end-of-2025 Bitcoin target with five weeks left: “I'm going to stick with it… If I'm wrong it doesn't matter… I'm long, I'm still happy either way”
What happened: BTC ended 2025 below $90,000
On the clock
Written down and dated. Not judged until the deadline arrives.
Said May 8, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026
Bitcoin to $125,000 by December 2026, conditional on central-bank easing
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