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Tesla

7 bullish · 4 neutral · exact words, dated and sourced
Dan IvesChamath+4

The most argued-about stock on the board: deliveries, robotaxis, and the valuation fight.

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What the people who move markets are saying about this, in their own words. These are views on the record, not scored bets: when a call here grows a number and a deadline, it moves to the scoreboard. Newest first.

Bullish leaning · 2026-08-24
Todd Horwitz bought Tesla and Apple into their sell-offs as oversold trades.
I sold into the Microsoft rally. In the meantime, I bought into the Tesla sell-off, the Apple sell-off, okay?
Tesla since this was said: ▲ +4.2% · 348.9 → 363.6 · as of 2026-09-10
Neutral 2026-08-11
Kevin Paffrath states Tesla has 1.48m active FSD subscriptions as of Q2 2026, only ~700k paying monthly, about 14% of the 10m milestone in Musk's pay plan.
We're currently at 1.48 million as of the second quarter. 55% of those people bought up front, so only around 700-ish thousand are actually paying on a monthly basis, right?
Tesla since this was said: ▲ +9.2% · 332.8 → 363.6 · as of 2026-09-10
Neutral 2026-08-11
Kevin Paffrath states Tesla's cumulative deliveries are about 9.7m against the 20m milestone in Musk's pay plan.
Looking for 20 million cumulative vehicle deliveries. We're almost halfway there at about 9.7 million.
Tesla since this was said: ▲ +9.2% · 332.8 → 363.6 · as of 2026-09-10
Neutral 2026-08-11
Kevin Paffrath states Tesla has 20 unsupervised robotaxis in operation against a 1m milestone, and progress is taking longer than expected.
Looking for one million robo-taxis in operation. We're at 20, unsupervised.
Tesla since this was said: ▲ +9.2% · 332.8 → 363.6 · as of 2026-09-10
Bullish leaning · 2026-07-18
Framing SpaceX as 'a bet on Musk,' Ives references his prior view that a Musk-consolidation acquisition of Tesla has over an 80% chance.
“like Tesla I've talked about, you know, the chances are over 80%, and we talked about before that they were gonna acquire Tesla.”
Dan Ives · Yorkville Ives & Co · Yahoo Finance ↗
Tesla since this was said: ▼ -4.5% · 380.8 → 363.6 · as of 2026-09-10
Bullish 2026-07-06
“I spent time with Elon. I've looked at Optimus. I can tell you Optimus is better than what Figure is doing.”
Chamath · Social Capital · YouTube ↗
Bullish 2026-07-02
“If you would normalize and say that gas prices year-over-year were unchanged, I still believe that they would have grown deliveries at 20 percent, which is an acceleration”
Gene Munster · Deepwater Asset Management · CNBC ↗
S&P 500 since this was said: ▲ +1.4% · 7,483 → 7,592 · as of 2026-09-10
Bullish leaning · 2026-07-02
“There's been some pent-up demand that has pulled some of that through, and also I just think that consumers are becoming progressively more open to electrification.”
Gene Munster · Deepwater Asset Management · CNBC ↗
Bullish hedged · 2026-06-09
Todd 'Bubba' Horwitz tells Kitco he would want to buy Tesla if it got back to 350 from around 400.
I mean, if Tesla got back to 350, I'd wanna jump in there. You know, right now, it's trading around 400.
Tesla since this was said: ▼ -8.3% · 396.7 → 363.6 · as of 2026-09-10
Neutral 2026-05-22
Chamath Palihapitiya tells All-In that Tesla will be merged into SpaceX (no deadline).
And as I've told you, that will get merged in.
Tesla since this was said: ▼ -14.7% · 426.0 → 363.6 · as of 2026-09-10
Bullish leaning · 2026-01-04
Raoul Pal says Tesla, once dismissed, is being recognized as a networked AI/car/robot/logistics company and the market will price it as such.
Tesla, because nobody believed it was a network company. And sooner or later, everyone's realizing that this is networked AI across networked cars with networked robots, networked logistic chains.
Raoul Pal · Real Vision / Global Macro Investor · https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nslN690Odh0 @25:43 ↗
Tesla since this was said: ▼ -17.0% · 438.1 → 363.6 · as of 2026-09-10

On the scoreboard

Voices in this debate who also have scored calls on the ledger.

Chamath · 4 of 15 correctRaoul Pal · 0 of 3 correct

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